Rising profitability in the beef production sector could be tempered this year by higher grain and feed prices, an international industry conference has warned.
The global agri benchmark network, made up of more than 35 beef economists from 25 countries, including EBLEX senior analyst Mark Topliff, held a summit in Austria to discuss trends in the industry and emerging patterns.
And while the gap in production costs across the globe is closing because of rising land prices in countries like Argentina, and currency fluctuations, the sector is likely to see profits dampened by the higher input prices experienced in the first half of 2011.
“What we found is that globally in 2010, beef prices had recovered driven by an increase in demand,” said Mark, part of the Agriculture and Horticulture Board's Market Intelligence department.
“Exchange rate movements, and price developments for calves and store cattle helped profitability. However, it is expected that grain and feed prices could ultimately lead to lower profits in some countries this year.”
“The question now is where and with which type of production systems beef will be produced in the future, and this is in the focus of agri benchmark's future work,” said Dr. Claus Deblitz from the Johann Heinrich von Thünen-Institut in Germany, coordinator of the network.
Agricultural economists from 25 countries work together in the agri benchmark beef and sheep network to analyse to discuss the recent developments and the future trends of beef and sheep production in the most important production regions in the world. The Johann Heinrich von Thünen-Institut (vTI) and the German Agricultural Society (DLG) coordinate the activity. The annual comparison of typical cow calf and beef finishing farms is a core activity of the network and shows the main differences in the beef production systems, their costs and profitability using a globally standardised approach.
Other conclusions to come out of the sessions included:
Some Asian countries, as well as Russia, are facing a growing gap between domestic supply and demand
In a number of EU-27 countries, such as France, Spain, Italy and Austria, the possible shift of single-farm payments into land-based payments could have negative income impacts on finishing farms with historically higher stocking rates
Beef continues to be affected by developments in the other meat sectors, and vice versa
High grain prices push grass-fed beef production out of locations where crop production becomes profitable.
A costs of production report from the network will be published in September.
For more information on agri benchmark, visit www.agribenchmark.org
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